While we can’t predict earthquakes, scientific research indicates there is a 75% probability of an Alpine Fault earthquake occurring in the next 50 years, and there is a 4 out of 5 chance that it will be a magnitude 8+ event.

AF8 Scenario StoryMap

This StoryMap shares a credible science-based hazard scenario for a major Alpine Fault earthquake. Scenarios bring together all our available knowledge to paint a picture of what we might experience so we can be better prepared for it.

*StoryMap is best viewed on a desktop, laptop or tablet, it is not suitable for viewing on mobile phones or small screens.

Explore the StoryMap

Movement along the Alpine Fault, with its powerful uplift along the Southern Alps over millions of years, forms the geological foundations for Te Waipounamu our beautiful South Island and the stunning landscape we call home. The more we understand our natural environment and the forces that shape it, the better prepared we can be.

Our Shaky Isles

Emergency Management Southland Emergency Management CanterburyEmergency Management OtagoWest Coast Emergency ManagementNelson Tasman Emergency ManagementMarlborough Emergency Management

QuakeCoRE: NZ Centre for Earthquake ResilienceNational Emergency Management AgencyResilience to Nature's Challenges

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