AF8 Hazard Scenario 2016

A credible science scenario for a 7-day response period after a future magnitude 8 Alpine Fault earthquake.

The Alpine Fault Hazard Scenario outlined in this document is a key output of the programme’s first year, 2016-17. In its first two years, the programme was known as ‘Project AF8’.

In year three, the name changed to AF8 [Alpine Fault magnitude 8] to reflect the transition from a response planning project to a wider programme of scientific modelling, coordinated response planning and community engagement.

The Hazard Scenario (also known as the AF8 Scenario) remains central to this work, where science provides a robust foundation for response and recovery planning, risk communication and engagement.

AF8 would like to thank all the contributors listed for lending their expert knowledge and time in the development of this report and for their ongoing support of the AF8 programme.

This report was funding by the Ministry of Civil Defence Emergency Management Resilience Fund 2016-17.

AF8 Hazard Scenario 2016