Bringing Alpine Fault science and hazard impact information to South Island communities, in areas likely to be affected by an AF8 earthquake.
While we can’t predict when earthquakes will occur, scientific research has shown that the Alpine Fault has a history of generating regular, large earthquakes. The next event is likely to occur within the lifetime of most of us, or our children and young people, for whom this is likely to have major short and long-term impacts.
The AF8 Roadshow provides South Island communities, in areas most likely to be affected by an AF8 earthquake, with direct access to Alpine Fault science and hazard impact information relevant to them and their region.
Thanks to all our supporters: The 6 South Island CDEM Groups, EQC – Earthquake Commission, Resilience to Nature’s Challenges, QuakeCoRE and GNS Science, and our University partners: University of Otago, University of Canterbury and the University of Auckland – we couldn’t do this without you!
PLEASE NOTE: The AF8 Roadshow Public Science Talks will only go ahead at Alert level 1. At Alert levels 2-4, presentations will be rescheduled or moved online, and links will be available via the listings below and shared to the AF8 Facebook page.
For more details on the Alert Level system, check out: Unite Against Covid-19
Public Science Talks
A Prof. Caroline Orchiston
Caroline is the Acting Director and Research Associate Professor at the Centre for Sustainability at the University of Otago. She is the Science Lead for AF8, a collaboration between Civil Defence and the science community to improve our ability to respond to a future Alpine Fault earthquake. Her research interests lie in the area of natural hazards and societal resilience, with a particular interest in the tourism sector. She is based in Dunedin with her husband Tom and their three children.
Waitmate | Alexandra | Dunedin | Whataroa | Invercargill
Dr. Tom Robinson
Tom is a disaster risk specialist, with a specific focus on earthquakes in mountain environments – including New Zealand and Nepal. He is an expert in spatial modelling of earthquake-generated landslide hazard and risk, and scenario modelling with a focus on large-scale simulations for governments, militaries, and humanitarians for emergency response and disaster risk reduction. Tom led the development of the first comprehensive Alpine Fault earthquake scenario, he has recently returned to New Zealand and will continue his research at the University of Canterbury from July 2021.
Prof. Tom Wilson
Tom is a Professor of Disaster Risk and Resilience in the School of Earth and Environment at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand; and the Co-Lead of the Rural Disaster Resilience programme of Resilience to Natures Challenge (MBIE National Science Challenge). His areas of interest include natural hazard risk assessment, with a focus on understanding and trying to mitigate the impacts of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions to critical infrastructure systems and primary industries. He is one of the science leads of AF8.
Dr. Rob Langridge
Rob is a Senior Scientist at GNS. He works as an Earthquake Geologist – someone who specifically studies the earthquake history and seismic hazard of faults. In New Zealand, Rob’s focus has been on the Alpine, Hope and Wellington faults. Lately Rob has been involved in the science response to the 2016 Kaikōura earthquake.
Hanmer | Kaikōura
Dr. Simon Cox
Dr. Simon Cox is a Principal Scientist at GNS Science in Dunedin. His work involves: fault and earthquake research in the South Island; the mapping of rock avalanches, earthquake-induced landslides and alluvial fan flooding hazards; and building a digital geological map dataset of Antarctica. He has led immediate earthquake response, was part of the Alpine Fault Drilling Project, run experiments on Southern Alps hot springs, and an Earthquake Hydrology project that demonstrates liquefaction damage during the 2010-2011 Canterbury earthquakes was exacerbated by leakage and release of groundwater from artesian aquifers.
A Prof. Liam Wotherspoon
Liam is an Associate Professor in the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department at the University of Auckland. He is involved in engineering research across a range of natural hazards, with a particular focus on New Zealand’s infrastructure networks. He is a Fellow of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, and is on the leadership teams of a number of national research programmes with a focus on improving New Zealand’s resilience to natural hazard events.
Greymouth | Franz Josef
Dr. Alistair Davies
Ali completed his PhD, titled ‘Increasing the disaster resilience of remote communities through scenario co-creation’ in collaboration with Franz Josef community members and West Coast Lifelines. He ran a series of workshops to further develop the AF8 scenario, and will present on these findings. Following his PhD, Ali worked for two years at Te Rākau Whakamarumaru National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), and last year began working as a Senior Advisor in Risk Reduction and Resilience at Kōmihana Rūwhenua Earthquake Commission (EQC).
Greymouth | Franz Josef
Alice is the Programme Lead for AF8. She specialises in the communication of complex information, with a particular interest in how clear communication design can help us prepare for and respond to emergency events. Previously, Alice has worked with NGOs and IGOs across Europe and Asia supporting their work in disaster and development fields. She returned home to the South Island of New Zealand in 2018 to join AF8, where one of her roles is the design, development and delivery of the AF8 Roadshow.
Karamea | Kokatahi
Dr. Kate Clark
Kate is a Senior Scientist at GNS Science. She works as an Earthquake Geologist, with a particular interest in the geological records of earthquakes and tsunamis that have impacted the coastline of New Zealand over the past 100’s to 1000’s of years. Kate has previously developed geological records of past large earthquakes on the Alpine fault in Fiordland, and she currently leads several projects that focus on understanding the seismic and tsunami hazard posed by the Hikurangi subduction zone.
Dr. Kelvin Berryman
Kelvin is a geologist by training and now specialises in the geology of earthquakes and tsunami, in particular those associated with the Alpine Fault and Hikurangi subduction margin. He often works with engineers, planners, and policy makers on design of new structures, seismic safety assessment of infrastructure and disaster risk management. Kelvin was one of the principal spokespersons during the Canterbury earthquake sequence of 2010-11 and more recently in the aftermath of the 2016 Kaikōura Earthquake. In 2012 he received a Queens Service Order honour for services to science and Canterbury earthquake recovery. Kelvin retired from GNS Science in June 2020 after 46 years and moved on to set up Berryman Research & Consulting to progress conversations on risk and resilience and to undertake small consultancy projects
Prof. Mark Stirling
Professor Mark Stirling is the inaugural Chair of Earthquake Science at the University of Otago, and is a seismologist with a multidisciplinary background in geology and seismology. He moved to his present position in 2016, and prior to that was a Principal Scientist at GNS Science. He has led the development of the last three versions of the national seismic hazard model for New Zealand (1998, 2002 and 2012), which is the hazard basis for the New Zealand Loadings Standard. In his present role his efforts include understanding the occurrence of large earthquakes and likely ground motions in low seismicity regions like Otago, and the development of seismic hazard models for critical facilities in New Zealand and abroad.